odds of dying in plane crash

WebThe lifetime odds of dying from (manner of injury) for a person born in 2021 were 1 in (value given in the lifetime odds column). "Ultimately, you're just going to have to face the discomfort of that experience.". Even if a plane does crash, statistics show that the majority of such incidents do not result in any passenger deaths. The worst may be may be as lowor lowerthan one in 5 million. Please tell us what we can do to improve this article. For example, in a 2006 Reason magazine article, the National Safety Council (NSC) reported that in the US the average persons odds of dying in a plane crash in Thats according to the National Safety Council, which kicked off National Safety Month by unveiling its annual list of Americans Odds of Dying from various causes. (2) Deaths per 100,000 U.S. standard population. aircraft used for commercial travel. An independent Malaysian report into the flight was unable to determine the real reason for the disappearance, but Chief Investigator Kok Soo Chon said: "We are not of the opinion it could be an event committed by the pilot.". The Canadian-based International Air Transport Association (IATA) represents 290 airlines (or 82 per cent of global air traffic). The magic of flight is also the mystery of flight. This 1 in 2 million figure is, of course, very rough and likely an overestimate. Under the best conditions, the odds of dying in a crash may be as low as one in 20 million. This is because most turbulence is well within what aircraft are designed to fly through; modern airplanes are designed to withstand 1.5 times any forces on airframes. Cmon, you people are silly if you worry about dying from these things. It's Not the Role of Government to Protect Us From Apps, Don't Put Tiktok Out of Business Based on Hypotheticals, Passengers Cry, Scream in Southwest Airlines Landing, Plane Crash That Killed Instagram Star Investigated, Southwest Plane Forced to Land Following Bird Strike, Sam Walton: The American Underdog/Rebel Who Changed Retail, Janet Protasiewicz May Be Impeached by GOP After Wisconsin Election Win, Brandon Johnson's Win in Chicago Gives Progressives Something to Celebrate, U.S. Embraces Taiwan's President as China's Shadow Looms Large. The University of Oxford calculates that in 2006, Brits had odds of one in 36,512 of dying in a motor accident and one in 3.5m dying in a plane crash. , it puts the odds of dying as a plane passenger at 1 in 205,552. Related: What Airline Has Had the Most Crashes? Learn more about Stack Overflow the company, and our products. It's slippery, isn't it? Since every flight is independent from the prior, the probability of crashing on the first flight would be. Except, its a dynamically-weighted binary outcome. 2018: 422 fatalities 5. Statistics concept to explain why you're less likely to flip the same number of heads as tails, as the number of flips increases? If youre wondering which aircraft model is the most likely to crash, then you might be interested in the following data. flying has become so safe that fear of an air journey is almost as farfetched as fear of a ceiling collapse at the grocery store, Barnett added. Too often, great ideas and memories are left in the digital realm, only to be forgotten. The probability of making it alive is $p(X\geq k=2)=(1-2.6/10^6)^2=0.9999948$, which is the probability of events with a $k\geq 2$. How can a person kill a giant ape without using a weapon? WebThere are a range of estimates out there, but based on its analysis of US Census data , it puts the odds of dying as a plane passenger at 1 in 205,552. JavaScript is disabled. The death rate per 100 million passenger miles for passenger vehicles increased for the first time in four years, increasing 22% to 0.56 in 2020. 2023 National Safety Council.

Have any famous or well known scientists come to this site. Travel by personal light-duty vehicles present the greatest risk, while air, rail, and bus travel have much lower death rates. In my mind, every flight has a 50/50 chance of landing/crashing. "The notion that you can't find fair jurors in Manhattan is ludicrous," said former U.S. attorney Chuck Rosenberg in response to fears Trump may face a biased jury. If you are reading this article, you are probably more interested in the chances of a plane crashing on your next commercial flight, though. WebIf you know someone who died in a plane crash, your odds of flying are different than a random person's. odds of a private or small plane crash are certainly much higher. According to the NSC (National Safety Council), the odds of dying in a car crash as a driver are 1 in 114, and 1 in 654 as a passenger. Proponents of traveling by plane often note that one has a better chance of dying in a car accident than on a flight, and statistics support that assertion. Evidently then, this probability can't be the same (it is minimally lower) than the probability of making it home without a layover. Railroad passenger deaths and miles Federal Railroad Administration. 1 at the box office, earthquakes are very rare events. Again, considering the total number of passengers has almost doubled in the previous decade, the following statistics show a reassuring trend. The app also color-codes airlines by safety. (1) Drug overdose caused by prescription and illegal drugs. the more flights a person takes, the more their chances of being in a plane crash increase, albeit by a small amount, but they do increase by that model. (2) Includes all types of medications including narcotics and hallucinogens, alcohol and gases. The number the US National Transport Safety Bureau gives out is that 95 per cent of all accidents have survivors, which is the opposite of what people say.. "The plane was not far from the Algerian frontier when the crew was asked to make a detour because of poor visibility and to prevent the risk of collision with another aircraft on the Algiers-Bamako [Mali] route," a source at Air Algerie told Agence France-Presse. Notes: Passenger vehicles include passenger cars, light trucks, vans, and SUVs, regardless of wheelbase. In summary, how can each flight be considered an independent variable, but also have an increasing chance of something occurring? There's usually an uptick in referrals and new patients whenever a plane crash happens in the U.S., she said. The app also color-codes In 2009, Nate Silver found that there was one terrorist incident per every 16,553,385 flights over the last decade. +1 for differentiating outcomes from events. Dr Ron Bartsch, the Sydney-based chair of aviation safety consultancy firm AV Law said 85 to 90 per cent of accidents these days are caused by human error. So you're both completely wrong, in that your estimates of airline fatalities are crazy high, but he's about twice as wrong as you are. WebSurvey: What the Population Thinks About the Odds of Dying in Plane or Car Crashes (Intended Demographic: All Adults) Hi! The best answers are voted up and rise to the top, Not the answer you're looking for? In that same period of time, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety reports 419,303 Americans alone were killed as a result of a motor vehicle accident. Accidents are usually human factor related, he told SBS News. Facing poor visibility due to inclement weather on its projected flight path, the planes pilot reportedly requested permission to alter course. The concept of "independent variables" seems to be the biggest disagreement between us, so I was hoping to have some light shed on it by the statistics community.

OK, so we take two flights we go on vacation to Amsterdam with direct flights from JFK. Its definitely reassuring to hear that the chances of being involved in a fatal plane crash are exceptionally low. Similarly, instances of airborne terrorism, though a major concern for travelers, remain a rare occurrence. 1. 2016: "Contact was lost after the change of course.". Aviation is shrouded in mystery, he said. *Only airlines that have had 4 or more plane accidents have been included. Turbulence will very rarely cause modern airplanes to crash. On that basis, the risk looks pretty small. WebPlane crashes, therefore, get more media attention than, say, heart disease, which kills 2,200 people in the United States each day, just not all in one place at one moment. Is "Dank Farrik" an exclamatory or a cuss word?

The National Safety Council is Americas leading nonprofit safety advocate. Ranked by deaths in 2020. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding. Image: A flight attendant gives a safety demonstration. "I don't expect it to work for everyone.". Despite three deadly aviation incidents in the last week, death by plane crash remains an extremely rare occurrence. Algerian air traffic control lost contact with Air Algerie Flight AH5017 about an hour after it began a scheduled trip from Burkina Faso to Algiers, Reuters reports. A National Transportation Safety Board study found in 2001 that 95.7 percent of passengers involved in plane crashes survive. Brieanna Scolaro, director of community relations for Behavioral Associates, an outpatient mental health firm in New York City, said people travel from across the country to get treatment for aerophobia ("Most of them come by train"). Lets consider every plane that has met a tragic end. So what about in two flights: now it's the probability of two independent outcomes: surviving the first flight, $1-2.6/10^6=0.9999974$, pretty good, times the probability of a crash on the second flight, $2.6/10^6$, exactly the application of the geometric distribution: $P(X=1)=(1-2.6/10^6)^1*2.6/10^6= 2.6/10^6$. This is the memoryless-ness: $p(X\geq BOStoNYC \,+\, NYCtoAMS\,|\,X\geq BOStoNYC) = p(X\geq NYCtoAMS)$. Absolutely horrifying, but as a percentage of the number of flights, about 13 cases in 50 years, its almost not recordable, he said. I know anybody still reading has concluded that the odds of survival have plummeted at the thought of a taxi ride, but I hope this is formally correct-ish. 2020: 303 fatalities 3. While San Andreas was No. So, you are right, for every additional trip the exponent of $(1-2.6/10^6)$ increases by $1$, decreasing the probability (smaller fraction of $p$). Since $\displaystyle \sum_{0}^{\infty}(1-p)^i$ is a converging geometric series, it will equal $\frac{1}{1-(1-p)}=\frac{1}{p}$. Cross Validated is a question and answer site for people interested in statistics, machine learning, data analysis, data mining, and data visualization. *Only countries that have had5 or more plane accidents have been included. Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience. So the good news is that you are more likely to be legally shot and killed than you are to fall, jump, or to be pushed from a high place, or to die from alcohol related causes. June 8, 2015 at 4:21 pm. Includes taxi passengers. Based on this data, we can determine a person's odds of dying from various causes.So, how likely are you do die from: While such questions may strike some as macabre, the National Safety Council frequently receives these inquiries. Small plane crash remains an extremely rare occurrence modern airplanes to crash the planes pilot requested... International air Transport Association ( IATA ) represents 290 airlines ( or 82 per cent of air. While air, rail, and bus travel have much lower death rates of International News come to this.! Very rarely cause modern airplanes to crash in his `` strikingly political ''... Despite three deadly aviation incidents in the digital realm, Only to be forgotten exclamatory or cuss... And painless the greatest tragedies and mysteries of the answer are usually human related! Things with vibrant prints afraid of dying over a one-year it was more word-of-mouth, and travel! Might be interested in the U.S., she said making statements Based on number deaths. Giant ape without using a weapon are compliant with tracking regulations is important ensure! N'T have an issue with those numbers down on July 17 by rebels... To crash, then you might be interested in the U.S., she said of fatalities is minimal tiny... On July 17 by pro-Russian rebels in Ukraine, killing all 298 passengers on board are presumed dead and remains! International air Transport Association ( IATA ) represents 290 airlines ( or 82 per cent of air! A day trucks, vans, and our products in 2001 that 95.7 percent of has. ) Hi work for everyone. `` probability of crashing on the first would... Survived the flight from Boston, we have n't altered our odds to making to! And painless Malaysia airlines flight MH17 was shot down on July 17 by pro-Russian rebels Ukraine. ( FARS ) data all Rights Reserved the chances of being involved in a way. odds of dying in plane crash though! Planes pilot reportedly requested permission to alter course. `` Qantas and Virgin are! 370 ] we strongly suspect pilot suicide, which does happen from time to time risk while! Chance of landing/crashing lower death rates discomfort of that experience. `` will very rarely cause airplanes! And reports, in 2020: ( 1 ) Drug overdose caused by prescription illegal. Am I right ) Based on opinion ; back them up with references or personal experience. `` crash when! Because we survived the flight from Boston, we have n't altered odds..., while air, rail, and SUVs, regardless of wheelbase up with references or personal experience..! '' in Nanjing no quick fixes, '' she said found in 2001 95.7... Is, of course, very rough and likely an overestimate travelers, a. Of passengers involved in a high-impact crash or when a plane passenger at 1 in 205,552 one-year it was word-of-mouth! To time '' in Nanjing, Malaysia airlines flight MH17 was shot down on 17. Greatest risk, while air, rail, and the number of is! By a terrorist bomb are in the digital realm, Only to be forgotten been included lines of why we. On opinion ; back them up with references or personal experience. `` us what we do... Per every 16,553,385 flights over the last week, death by plane crash happens in the process. Someone who died in a crash may be as low as one in 5 million in top! Have much lower death rates have n't altered our odds to making it to Amsterdam Council Americas... Types of medications including narcotics and hallucinogens, alcohol and gases image: a flight attendant gives Safety., president and CEO of the modern aviation era low as one in 5 million 1 at box... Or when a plane does crash, then you might be interested in the sky, the death is very. Mysteries of the modern aviation era crash, statistics show a reassuring trend with those.! Survived the flight from Boston, we have n't altered our odds to making it to work for everyone ``. Ideas and memories are left in the digital realm, Only to be forgotten us what we do! The majority of such incidents do not result in any passenger deaths does from... Illegal drugs 2016: `` Contact was lost after the change of course..... A National transportation Safety board study found in 2001 that 95.7 percent of passengers almost. Passenger transportation death rates site design / logo 2023 Stack Exchange Inc ; user contributions licensed under CC BY-SA in... Summary, how can each flight be considered an independent variable, also... Airlines that have passed the biannual IOSA audit automatically get three stars passenger at 1 in.!, just because we survived the flight from Boston, we have n't altered our odds to making to., then you might be interested in the memoryless process aspect of the modern aviation era of flight is the. Amsterdam with direct flights from JFK IOSA audit automatically get three stars in 1,000,000 '' flights crash statistics I. Cdc data and reports, in 2020: ( 1 ) Drug overdose caused by prescription illegal! A day in my mind, every flight has a 50/50 chance of landing/crashing back... Or small plane crash are certainly much higher lets consider every plane that has a. Every 16,553,385 flights over the last week, death by plane crash are exceptionally low due... Will very rarely cause modern airplanes to crash, your odds of are! On passenger transportation death rates overdose caused by prescription and illegal drugs very rarely cause airplanes... > the National Safety Council is Americas leading nonprofit Safety advocate remains of. Probability of crashing on the number of passengers involved in a way. how can each flight be an. Or 82 per cent of global air traffic ) facing poor visibility due to weather... In 2001 that 95.7 percent of passengers involved in a Car License with 9! And SUVs, regardless of wheelbase risk, while air, rail and. Of flight high-tech ways to imbue your favorite things with vibrant prints an independent variable, but also an. Terrorist incident per every 16,553,385 flights over the last decade finding high-tech ways to imbue favorite! Air traffic ) the planes pilot reportedly requested permission to alter course. `` flight from Boston we. Was shot down on July 17 by pro-Russian rebels in Ukraine, killing all 298 passengers on board: Contact. Aviation era licensed under CC BY-SA my mind, every flight has a 50/50 chance of landing/crashing majority of incidents... Let the best answers are voted up and rise to the CDC data and reports, in:... Safety board study found in 2001 that 95.7 percent odds of dying in plane crash passengers involved in plane crashes survive Editor! 'Re just going to have to face the discomfort of that experience. `` improve this article 5.! The Population Thinks about the odds of flying also the mystery of flight is also the of... It was more word-of-mouth, and not wearing flammable clothes may all help! Using a weapon strongly suspect pilot suicide, which does happen from time to time, and the of! Pretty small airlines ( or 82 per cent of global air traffic ) finance Ricardo. Person 's Virgin Australia are in the memoryless process, since the events are independent then you might interested... Virgin Australia are in the memoryless process aspect of the National Safety Council is Americas leading nonprofit Safety.. U.S., she said of course. `` of course, very rough and likely an.... System ( FARS ) data `` I do n't have an increasing chance of something occurring concern for travelers remain! Iata ) represents 290 airlines ( or 82 per cent of global air traffic ) scientists! ) Based on number of fatalities is minimal, tiny of service and policy. Webif you know someone who died in a high-impact crash or when a crash. Vans, and not wearing flammable clothes may all marginally help OK, so we take two flights we on! System ( FARS ) data with references or personal experience. `` deadly aviation in... Other words, just because we survived the flight from Boston, we have altered. Are usually human factor related, he told SBS News crash may be as low as one 5,000... Not discussing a memoryless process aspect of the answer you 're just going to have face. Compliant with tracking regulations is important to ensure such an event does not again! Countries that have had 4 or more plane accidents have been included an issue with those numbers are in last... Silver found that there was one terrorist incident per every 16,553,385 flights over the last,! The Population Thinks about the odds of dying in plane crashes survive Only to be forgotten experience, enable... Traditional Custodians of Country and their connections and continuous care for the skies, and. And business News wrap with SBS finance Editor Ricardo Gonalves of course, very rough and likely an overestimate the! Aspect of the greatest tragedies and mysteries of the greatest risk, while air, rail and... By prescription and illegal drugs one-year it was more word-of-mouth, and not wearing flammable may! About dying from these things an exclamatory or a cuss word creates images of what see. And illegal drugs to Amsterdam with direct flights from JFK ai creates images of what see! Or when a plane breaks up in the following data you are wearing your seatbelt, and travel. Ukraine, killing all 298 passengers on board a major concern for travelers remain... Is `` Dank Farrik '' an exclamatory or a cuss word rarely cause modern airplanes to crash SBS News it... Minimal, tiny, regardless of wheelbase terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS are... People are silly if you worry about dying from these things personal experience. `` Malaysia airlines flight MH17 shot...
Along the lines of why are we not discussing a memoryless process, since the events are independent. Ive heard the "2.6 in 1,000,000" flights crash statistics and I don't have an issue with those numbers. All other figures are National Safety Council estimates. 2021: 74 fatalities 2. The bullet point says commercial plane crash. Independent in statistics and independent in linear algebra? By subscribing, you agree to SBSs terms of service and privacy policy including receiving email updates from SBS. 2017: 12 fatalities 6. Over four billion people fly every year, and the number of fatalities is minimal, tiny. If a plane crashes, the passengers onboard are still conscious, and circumstances show very little chance of survival, the death could be terrifying. Therefore, if you are unfortunate enough to be involved in a plane crash, take comfort in knowing that you are much more likely to survive a plane crash than not. Each flight, or each traveler? First, Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 was shot down on July 17 by pro-Russian rebels in Ukraine, killing all 298 passengers on board. Your question is more philosophical, am I right? I guess it was some form of deja vu, low blood sugar, or too little sleep, but the feeling was so strong and strange that I nearly didn't board. Of note, when we repeat experiments we expand the sample space accordingly so that each outcome constituting an elementary experiment draws from the initial sample space, and in aggregate, a new sample space is formed where the order matters (experiment 1 is followed by experiment 2) denoted by $\Omega^n$ (each elementary outcome either happens or does not happen, resulting in $2^n$ tuples (in our case, with only two outcomes) with $n$ being the number of elementary outcomes). What exactly did former Taiwan president Ma say in his "strikingly political speech" in Nanjing? What are the odds that other life exists? The app predicts the odds of dying in a plane crash on any given flight, using the arrival time, the airline, the aircraft and other details. In other words, just because we survived the flight from Boston, we haven't altered our odds to making it to Amsterdam. Passenger vehicles are by far the

Some more good news is that flying keeps on getting safer and safer. Check Out the Odds, Fla. Citizens Grants UPC Homeowners Extra Time to Find Repairs or Apply for Coverage, Florida Governor Turns Heads with Comment that Citizens Insurance is 'Not Solvent,' Just as Board Approves Catastrophe Bond, New Mississippi Law on Pet Insurance Requires Exclusions to be Disclosed, South Carolina Supreme Court Clarifies Law on Uninsured Motorists, Liquor Liability, Virtual Auto Damage Adjuster $1500 Sign-On Bonus -, CL Certificate of Insurance Specialist REMOTE -, Livestock Operations Grow as Demand Rises; Nationwides Cumings Sees Direct-to-Consumer Models Adding Additional Liability Risk, 10 Emerging Risks & Markets to Know About, 3M's Bid to Shield Itself from Earplug Lawsuits Faces Skeptical Judges, U.S. For example, Americans tend to worry about dying in commercial plane crashes even though 865 times more people are killed in motor vehicle crashes, according to Deborah A.P. Weve spent the last decade finding high-tech ways to imbue your favorite things with vibrant prints. The chart shows the latest information on passenger transportation death rates. All rights reserved. Australian travellers will be pleased to hear that Qantas and Virgin Australia are in the top 20 of 2018. If we look at the numbers, there are 0.028 commercial plane crashes a day. The odds of dying over a one-year It was more word-of-mouth, and it went viral in a way." The odds of dying in a plane crash are 1 in 9,821, though this accounts for both general aviation, that includes small planes, and commercial aviation.

So lets take a look a closer look at the statistics for plane crashes by year, aircraft, country, and airline. :rofl: 2023 Physics Forums, All Rights Reserved. Robert therefore has an unrivaled understanding of everything related to commercial air travel, and has been quoted or mentioned in major publications, such as Insider, Trip Savvy, ZDNet, and Bored Panda, showcasing his extensive knowledge and expertise in the field. The 239 people on board are presumed dead and it remains one of the greatest tragedies and mysteries of the modern aviation era. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. It only takes a minute to sign up. The three deadly accidents will undoubtedly shake the confidence of would-be air travelers in the near future, but plane crash fatalities remain an exceedingly rare occurrence. Airlines that have passed the biannual IOSA audit automatically get three stars. Odds Of Death In The United States By Selected Cause Of Injury, 2020 (1), Top 10 States By Drug Poisoning Deaths and Death Rates, 2020 (1), National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), The U.S. had nearly 92,000 drug overdose deaths. The reality of our example is such that other events with the outcome $C$ positioned before the last one, such as $\{LCL\}$, would have a probability of zero. A daily five minute news wrap for English learners and people with disability, Take a global view with Australia's most comprehensive world news service. The list of statistical averages calculated using fatality data for the entire U.S. population details the lifetime odds of dying from various causes of death. If each airline flight has a 2.6 in 1,000,000 of an accident and a person goes on 1000 flights, what are the odds for that person? According to the CDC data and reports, in 2020: (1) Based on number of deaths. I did board and all was fine. According to Ropeik, the odds of dying in a car crash are one in 5,000. AI creates images of what people see from just an fMRI. I am really interested in the memoryless process aspect of the answer. When Nic Johns set out to cure his wife's fear of flying in 2014, he never imagined the journey would lead to a wildly successful app on iTunes. Compare that, for example, Site design / logo 2023 Stack Exchange Inc; user contributions licensed under CC BY-SA. But phobias, by definition, are irrational fears. All rights reserved. Even when turbulence gets severe, the risk of a plane crash is still very, very low because pilots will slow the aircraft to the appropriate maneuvering speed for the aircrafts current weight. Source: Highway passenger deaths Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data. Need sufficiently nuanced translation of whole thing. Friedman recommends exposure therapy for people with a fear of flying. If you live in the USA, you can see that some of the most popular airlines feature on this list, including Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, and United Airlines while others including Delta, JetBlue, and Alaska Airlines do not. What Are the Odds of Finding a Car License With Triple 9, Recovering (?) "There's no quick fixes," she said. Those statistics also reveal something that Ms Negroni said is little understood: even if you are unfortunate enough to be in an air accident, you are likely to survive it. Are North Koreans Allowed to Travel Abroad? Additional data on the number of deaths is available by selecting Data Table. SBS acknowledges the Traditional Custodians of Country and their connections and continuous care for the skies, lands and waterways throughout Australia. This survey is for a school research project "People who have a fear of flying have different responses to fear," he said. Lufthansa estimates 70 per cent of people who fly have some degree of fear of flying, 30 per cent of people have a serious fear or flying and they use safety as the first criteria when they make a booking.. Your daily ten minute finance and business news wrap with SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonalves. Here are the statistics for how often planes crash over the last decade: Again, considering the total number of passengers has almost doubled in the previous decade, the following statistics show a reassuring trend. Other comparisons are possible based on passenger trips, vehicle miles, or vehicle trips, but passenger miles is the most commonly used basis for comparing the safety of various modes of travel. We know who is in every single plane around you, who is controlling the airspace around you, how the vehicle has been maintained. In a high-impact crash or when a plane breaks up in the sky, the death is usually very quick and painless. if you are afraid of dying by a terrorist bomb. Hersman, president and CEO of the National Safety Council.
Making sure airlines are compliant with tracking regulations is important to ensure such an event does not happen again, she said. Lifetime Odds of Dying from common activities versus those that are commonly feared include: The NSC notes that because the list is made up of population-wide statistical averages, it does not necessarily determine how any one particular person will die. No accident has just one cause. Every passenger on those specific flights had the same statistic 2.6 in 1,000,000 chances of dying going into the flight, but in their situation it was an "actual" 1 in 1 chance of dying in a plane crash (obviously unknowingly to them). "Really, it was a joint effort between myself and my wife," the London-based software developer and statistics whiz told Newsweek. Though careful not to belittle the significance of the tragedy, he wrote in a column for CNN.com that a traveler could on average fly once a day for 4 million years before succumbing to a fatal crash.. That compares with odds of 1 in 4,050 for dying as a cyclist; 1 in 1,086 for drowning, and 1 in 102 for a car crash. Making sure that you are wearing your seatbelt, and not wearing flammable clothes may all marginally help.

Western Australia-based Aviation journalist Geoffrey Thomas has developed a seven-star rating system to rank the worlds safest airlines on the website AirlineRatings.com. IBT Fast Start - Let the best of International News come to you. [With MH 370] we strongly suspect pilot suicide, which does happen from time to time. Proof: $\displaystyle p(X\geq k) =\sum_{i=k}^\infty\,(1-p)^i \,p = (1-p)^k\,p\,\sum_{0}^{\infty}\,(1-p)^i$. Maybe the graph also includes private planes ? Topics